SanDisk surges 500% as the AI trade swallows boring value stocks

PensionCraft////3 min read

The illusion of safety in value rotation

Many investors entered 2026 seeking shelter from the extreme concentration of the Magnificent Seven. By shifting toward the value end of the market—historically a bastion of stability and low-volatility assets—the intent was to diversify away from tech-heavy risks. However, the market has executed a surprising pivot. The very stocks traditionally categorized as "boring" or "unloved" have become the primary beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence build-out.

This shift has fundamentally altered the DNA of value indices. In a striking example of this transformation, Micron now commands over 18% of a major US value index, while remaining less than 2% of the broader market. When your safe harbor is dominated by memory chip makers, you haven't escaped the tech trade; you have simply moved from the software engine to the hardware basement.

Atoms over algorithms in the Halo trade

Wall Street has dubbed this movement the "Halo trade," standing for heavy assets, low obsolescence. The thesis, championed by Josh Brown, posits that while AI might disrupt software and digital services, it creates insatiable demand for physical infrastructure. You cannot prompt a power grid into existence. Consequently, we are seeing a decoupling: software stalwarts like Salesforce and Workday have drifted lower, while "atoms" companies providing power management and physical components have soared.

SanDisk surges 500% as the AI trade swallows boring value stocks
What’s Actually Working in the 2026 Stock Market

Eaton and Vertiv represent this new leadership, serving as a leveraged bet on artificial intelligence spending. While these firms appear safer than volatile software startups, they are essentially conduits for the $700 billion infrastructure wave funded by big tech. If hyperscalers like Microsoft or Alphabet pause their capital expenditure, these "safe" physical assets could face a severe correction.

Debt, duration, and the century bond

The scale of this investment is increasingly supported by the credit market rather than just cash flow. Alphabet recently issued a rare century bond, borrowing money that matures in 2126. The fact that investors are willing to lend to a tech company for 100 years suggests a level of exuberance that borders on a credit bubble. This move highlights that the artificial intelligence story is no longer just about stock prices; it is a profound debt-fueled expansion that relies on decades of projected growth to justify current borrowing.

Managing the 2026 volatility cycle

Leadership has shifted from the mega-caps to the supply chain. SanDisk, once a small-cap afterthought, surged over 500% this year after entering the S&P 500. Yet, this growth comes with a steep price: extreme volatility. Broadcom recently lost $285 billion in market value in a single day despite beating earnings expectations. This "priced for perfection" environment means anything less than spectacular results is treated as a failure. To find true diversification, investors must look beyond simple sector labels and consider holding short-term bonds or cash to offset the hidden AI concentration lurking within their value funds.

Topic DensityMention share of the most discussed topics · 17 mentions across 14 distinct topics
Alphabet
12%· companies
Broadcom
6%· companies
Eaton
6%· companies
Halo trade
6%· concepts
Other topics
53%
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SanDisk surges 500% as the AI trade swallows boring value stocks

What’s Actually Working in the 2026 Stock Market

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PensionCraft // 19:42

My name is Ramin Nakisa and I started PensionCraft in 2016 as I felt strongly that I wanted to teach people how to invest well for themselves so they could stop making costly mistakes and losing their money through having to pay unnecessarily high fees. Before starting PensionCraft, I worked in investment banking as a strategist and I was a frequent contributor on CNBC and Bloomberg TV. I have written two books about finance and investment: one for professional investors and one that explains how to buy and sell volatility using exchange-traded products. I publish a new video on YouTube every Saturday and you can join me for a live Q&A on the 1st Thursday of every month at 7pm UK time. If you want to learn how to become a better investor then why not join our friendly membership at pensioncraft.com?

Who and what they mention most
Nvidia
33.3%4
Tesla
16.7%2
Microsoft
16.7%2
Alphabet
16.7%2
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