Gottman research reveals 33 percent response rate predicts divorce
The microscopic seeds of marital collapse
Most people believe relationships fail because of explosive arguments or infidelity. However, research from the Gottman Institute suggests that the true culprit is much quieter. Julie Gottman and John Gottman identify "bids for connection" as the fundamental unit of emotional health. A bid is any attempt to get a partner’s attention, whether it is a comment about the weather or a literal reach for a hand.

Three ways we respond to connection
In the Love Lab, researchers observed three distinct reactions to these bids. Turning toward involves acknowledgment and engagement. Turning away is the most insidious; it is a total lack of response, effectively acting as if the partner never spoke. Finally, turning against involves hostility or irritability, such as snapping at a partner for interrupting. While turning against feels more aggressive, the silent erosion of turning away often does more long-term damage to the bond.
The staggering math of intimacy
The statistical divide between stable and failing marriages is stark. Couples who stayed together six years after the study responded to bids 86% of the time. In contrast, those who divorced had an average response rate of just 33%. This massive gap highlights that intimacy is built through consistent, small acknowledgments rather than grand romantic gestures. Neglect effectively shuts down future communication; when a partner is ignored, the probability of them attempting a "re-bid" drops to just 22%.
Building the emotional bank account
Consistently turning toward your partner creates an emotional buffer. This history of connection allows couples to maintain a sense of humor during actual conflict. When you know your partner values your presence in small moments, you are less likely to view their frustrations as a personal attack during large ones. Real resilience is found in the mundane choice to look up from your phone when your name is called.
- Gottman Institute
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- Janice Driver
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- Mel Robbins
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The Small Habit That Predicts Divorce | Mel Robbins #shorts
WatchMel Robbins // 2:48
Mel Robbins is the creator and host of The Mel Robbins Podcast, one of the most successful podcasts in the world, and a #1 New York Times bestselling author. She has 40M followers and is known globally for practical tools on mindset and behavior change. The Wall Street Journal calls her a “billion-view podcaster,” and TIME says she gives millions “a reason to believe in themselves.” Her books are published in 63 languages. The Let Them Theory is a #1 bestseller across every major list and a top-selling book of 2025 with more than 8M copies sold. She also wrote The 5 Second Rule and The High 5 Habit, and has seven #1 Audible releases. Her company, 143 Studios, produces award-winning podcasts, books, courses, and events for partners like Starbucks, Ulta Beauty, JP Morgan Chase, LinkedIn, and Audible. She has been honored by TIME 100 Digital Voices, Forbes 50 Over 50, USA Today, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and The Hollywood Reporter.