Jeff Gunlock

The Paradox of Universal Overvaluation Market commentators often sound the alarm that every financial asset—stocks, bonds, and real estate—has entered a dangerous bubble. Figures like Jeff Gunlock recently suggested that almost all financial assets are currently overvalued. While this sentiment resonates with investors feeling the pinch of high prices, it presents a logical contradiction. Capital must reside somewhere. If every asset class were truly overvalued simultaneously, the very definition of value would need to shift. In a closed system, money flows between assets based on relative attractiveness. When we label everything as too expensive, we often overlook the systemic forces keeping prices elevated. The Liquidity Bazooka and Asset Inflation The modern economic landscape changed drastically following the pandemic. Massive fiscal and monetary intervention injected unprecedented liquidity into the system. This "bazooka" approach flooded bank accounts and eventually filtered into Stock Market indices, Crypto Assets, and private equity. When the supply of money increases faster than the supply of investable assets, prices rise across the board. This isn't necessarily a sign of a looming crash; it is a reflection of a high-liquidity environment where too many dollars are chasing a limited pool of assets. Sentiment Versus Mathematical Reality There is a distinct gap between "bad vibes" and market fundamentals. Many Americans feel that the cost of living is unsustainable, a sentiment reflected in recent elections and social discourse. However, being expensive is not the same as being overvalued. High asset prices often persist because a significant portion of the population remains wealthy enough to support those prices. The root of the perceived overvaluation might not be a market bubble, but rather a wealth concentration where a large group of people has enough capital to keep the floor high on everything from housing to equities. Navigating a High-Price World Sustainable growth requires looking past the headlines of a "universal bubble." Even if valuations are stretched, they rarely burst in unison. Investors must focus on prudent allocation and risk management rather than waiting for a total market reset that may never come. Clarity in financial planning means accepting that high prices might be the new baseline in a world saturated with capital. Resilience is built by identifying which assets offer the most protection, even when nothing looks like a bargain.