Inflation-linked bonds offer protection while nominal gilts risk purchasing power

PensionCraft////2 min read

The core tradeoff of inflation protection

Conventional government bonds, or UK Gilts, offer the illusion of total safety by defining every coupon payment to the penny. However, this fixed nature ignores the erosion of purchasing power. Over a 20-year horizon, inflation can easily halve the value of those payments. Index-linked gilts, frequently called linkers, solve this by keeping the cash amount variable while the real spending power remains known. They are designed to hedge against unexpected spikes in the cost of living, ensuring that an investor's capital keeps pace with the Retail Prices Index.

Mechanics of the index ratio

The heavy lifting in a linker is performed by the index ratio. This figure represents today's Retail Prices Index divided by the base index level at the time the bond was issued. If the index has grown from 164 to 406, every payment—both coupons and the final redemption—is multiplied by 2.47. This mechanism creates a disconnect between the nominal units held and the actual cash received. While recent issues might feature tiny nominal coupons of 0.125%, the inflation adjustment ensures the total return accounts for the rising cost of goods.

Inflation-linked bonds offer protection while nominal gilts risk purchasing power
Inflation-Linked Bonds: Protect Your Portfolio from Rising Prices

Debunking the breakeven inflation myth

Investors often confuse breakeven inflation with a loss threshold. A breakeven rate of 3.6% simply identifies the point where a linker matches the return of a conventional bond. Falling below this rate doesn't mean a nominal loss; it signifies an opportunity cost. Linkers also include a risk premium, partly because pension funds and insurers are willing to pay a premium for the certainty of matching inflation-linked liabilities. Furthermore, the shift from RPI to CPIH in 2030 will lower future adjustments for long-dated bonds, a crucial detail for those building ladders beyond the next decade.

Managing the practical reality

On most platforms, the "dirty price" of a linker can be a shock. Unlike conventional bonds, where the difference between clean and dirty prices is minor, a linker's dirty price includes decades of accumulated inflation. An investor might see a clean price of £103 but pay a dirty price of £177. Because the primary return arrives as an inflation-adjusted lump sum at maturity, these assets are better suited for retirement planning and wealth preservation than for generating immediate, predictable cash income.

Topic DensityMention share of the most discussed topics · 7 mentions across 6 distinct topics
Retail Prices Index
29%· products
CPIH
14%· products
Index-linked gilts
14%· products
PensionCraft
14%· companies
Ramin Nakisa
14%· people
UK Gilts
14%· products
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Inflation-linked bonds offer protection while nominal gilts risk purchasing power

Inflation-Linked Bonds: Protect Your Portfolio from Rising Prices

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PensionCraft // 15:38

My name is Ramin Nakisa and I started PensionCraft in 2016 as I felt strongly that I wanted to teach people how to invest well for themselves so they could stop making costly mistakes and losing their money through having to pay unnecessarily high fees. Before starting PensionCraft, I worked in investment banking as a strategist and I was a frequent contributor on CNBC and Bloomberg TV. I have written two books about finance and investment: one for professional investors and one that explains how to buy and sell volatility using exchange-traded products. I publish a new video on YouTube every Saturday and you can join me for a live Q&A on the 1st Thursday of every month at 7pm UK time. If you want to learn how to become a better investor then why not join our friendly membership at pensioncraft.com?

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